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Markets React to Inflation Pressures and Global Uncertainty | BNP Paribas Mutual Fund

Markets React to Inflation Pressures and Global Uncertainty

Domestic Market Overview

Over the past week, Indian indices witnessed a notable decline, with the NIFTY 50 falling by 4.4%, the NIFTY Midcap 150 by 2.91%, and the NIFTY Smallcap 250 by 2.06%. The market correction was driven by multiple factors, including concerns over inflation, tightening liquidity conditions, and global economic uncertainties. Investors remained cautious as rising oil prices and inflationary pressures mounted, leading to a pullback across the board. Domestic equities also experienced selling pressure as global markets showed signs of weakness, and investors were apprehensive about interest rate hikes by central banks.

Sectoral Performance

The NIFTY Auto index recorded a sharp 6.1% decline, primarily due to concerns over slowing demand and rising input costs. Financial services were also impacted, with the NIFTY Financial Services 25/50 index down by 5.35%, reflecting fears of tightening credit conditions. The real estate sector experienced a steep fall, with the NIFTY Realty index plunging by 7.69%, as higher interest rates led to reduced housing demand. On the other hand, NIFTY IT remained relatively stable with a marginal 0.95% dip, as the global tech sector showed resilience. NIFTY Metal was the only index to show slight gains, with a 0.48% rise, benefiting from strong commodity prices and demand. The NIFTY Pharma index saw a modest decline of 1.8%, as concerns over rising input costs and regulatory challenges weighed on sentiment.

Global Market Overview

Global markets displayed mixed performance over the past week. U.S. markets showed a minor decline, with the S&P 500, Dow Jones, and NASDAQ all falling by 0.7% to 1.1%, driven by concerns over rising bond yields and potential rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. European markets followed suit, with the UK's FTSE down 0.7%, as inflation concerns continued to weigh on investor sentiment.

In Asia, the performance was varied. Japan's Nikkei 225 saw a sharp 3% decline, reflecting concerns over the weakening yen and global economic headwinds. South Korea's Kospi index dropped by 3.02%, as export data disappointed investors. In contrast, China's markets outperformed, with the Shanghai Composite Index surging 8.06% and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index rising by 10.20%. This rally was driven by government stimulus measures aimed at boosting the Chinese economy, along with optimism about recovery in the property sector and easing regulatory pressures on tech companies.

Overall, the domestic and global markets experienced volatility amid concerns about inflation, tightening monetary policies, and global economic uncertainties.

Other Markets:

Brent crude prices rose to settle at $ 78.31

The rupee closed at Rs 83.98 against the US dollar.

Gold slightly rose to settle at Rs 75,713 per 10 grams.

The 10 Year Benchmark G-Sec yield was at 6.95%.

Source: www.nseindices.com; google finance, MCX Gold Prices; www.rbi.org.in; Morningstar and tradingeconomics.com

Data for week ended on October 4, 2024. ^ data for the week (Fri – Thu) FTSE data as of today 1 pm.

Disclaimers:

The views and investment tips expressed by experts are their own and are meant for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. Investors should check with their financial advisors before taking any investment decisions.

The word ‘more’ does not imply more returns or assurance of scheme performance.it refers to the additional value provided by the joint venture, as compared to Baroda AMC and BNP Paribas AMC individually.

In the preparation of the material contained in this document, Baroda BNP Paribas Asset Management India Ltd. (“AMC”) (formerly BNP Paribas Asset Management India Private Limited) has used information that is publicly available, including information developed in-house. The AMC, however, does not warrant the accuracy, reasonableness and/or completeness of any information. This document may contain statements/opinions/ recommendations, which contain words, or phrases such as “expect”, “believe” and similar expressions or variations of such expressions that are “forward looking statements”. Actual results may differ materially from those suggested by the forward looking statements due to risk or uncertainties associated with our expectations with respect to, but not limited to, exposure to market risks, general economic and political conditions in India and other countries globally, which have an impact on our investments, the monetary and interest policies of India, inflation, deflation, unanticipated turbulence in interest rates, foreign exchange rates, equity prices or other rates or prices, etc. The AMC (including its affiliates), Baroda BNP Paribas Mutual Fund (“Mutual Fund”), its sponsor / trustee and any of its officers, directors, personnel and employees, shall not be liable for any loss, damage of any nature, including but not limited to direct, indirect, punitive, special, exemplary, consequential, as also any loss of profit in any way arising from the use of this document in any manner. The recipient alone shall be fully responsible / liable for any decision taken based on this document. All figures and other data given in this document are dated and may or may not be relevant at a future date. Prospective investors are therefore advised to consult their own legal, tax and financial advisors to determine possible tax, legal and other financial implication or consequences of subscribing to the units of the schemes of Baroda BNP Paribas Mutual Fund.

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